2026 - Q1 Top Trade Idea's
Favorite Setups and Data to Support it into the New Year
Top Q1 2026 Trade Ideas
Reminder that revealing these idea’s does not mean I am automatically shorting or longing blindly despite the price action. A good trade thesis without following price action isn’t going to work very well. These idea’s work more as a wishlist, once key levels are hit or catalyst arise, then is the time to strike. This creates high conviction setups similar to NVO recently, where our paid subscribers had a very nice Christmas. As always, will share with the group when I take a position and alert high conviction trades. Now for what you have been waiting.
1. Long Permian Basin Energy Leaders (Core: OXY Shares, FANG Calls)
OXY (Occidental Petroleum)
Core long via shares. (Currently $40 per share)
Thesis: Clear signs of accumulation while sentiment on energy is still washed out.
U.S.-centric production, so it benefits from higher crude prices and any Venezuela-related supply disruption without direct operational risk there.
6–18 month swing or express via calls for 1H 2026 upside; add on pullbacks to key support.
Key Levels in chart below
Accumulation below via Volume Leaders
FANG (Diamondback Energy)
Expression via calls or call spreads.
Retesting a key weekly breakout/support zone, historically a big mover in energy bull cycles.
Also levered to domestic production, giving upside torque if energy rips.
Key Levels in chart below
Can express this theme via similar trades to the flow below, I believe this can be a good Q1 trade.
Seasonality for Midterm Years also supports this thesis where energy can outperform Tech (Q’s)
Positioning also shows current sentiment in the sector
