PolycarpFX

PolycarpFX

Midweek Market Update

Positioning, Executing, Volatility

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PolycarpFX
Jan 07, 2026
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The last few weeks have been about cashing in, not maxing out. After a strong run in select trades, we’ve been steadily locking profits, raising cash levels, and tightening risk rather than forcing new exposure just to stay busy. The focus now is positioning for the next move, not just any move—letting the tape, seasonality, and positioning set up better odds instead of chasing what already happened.

Here is one setup I ‘m watching, RSI off the charts and financials indicator pushing to sell levels

Now for a quick midweek update

  • The first five trading days are tracking positive, which historically supports dip-buying, but the failed Santa Claus rally and midterm-year tendencies keep Q1 risk elevated.​

  • Seasonality data shows the back half of January is

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