The data in this report is extensive and serves as a great tool each year to navigate Bitcoins seasonal trends and cycles. Be sure to make it to the end where I share the Almanac guide and provide a special discount for premium access.
The Halving Cycle
One of the most followed and tracked cycles in the history of finance. The key that has often hurt later investors and traders in this asset is that the returns have diminished over time.
The Presidential Cycle
Just as the index’s track the US Presidential Cycle, Bitcoin does as well. The Midterm year is the weakest but can often be a strong setup for savvy traders who profit in both bear and bull cycles. Pre-Election years can be challenging for impatient investors but for those who navigate it properly often are rewarded with strong returns in Election & Post Election years.
Mid Term Seasonality
Pre Election Seasonality
Election Seasonality
Post Election Seasonality
Bitcoin Seasonality - All Years
The Bitcoin Almanac
I like to have cheat sheets for different patterns and this one pager acts as just that. This make it easier to spot the key windows in each year for strength or weakness while also breaking down the core concepts that can create an edge as a trader or investor.
If you found this content valuable, consider becoming a premium subscriber where I release new data each week and share my own trading and investing journey.
Goldilocks - August Portfolio, Index Targets, and Navigating the Energy Trade
August has started out with incredible strength as market reached new highs. Now as we enter a highly volatile time of year it will be key to look at the proper time frames for any thesis. Its easy to lose sight of potential upside and downside when investors and traders get tunnel vision as they watch price go against them and then they lose sight of the bigger picture on longer time frames. I think this is especially key for the rest of Q3 where it has been one of the strongest quarters of the year already for my own strategies.
Primer: How To Find Fat Pitch Trade Setups
The Apple trade to start off Q3 was one of the best ones of the year, over 400% return in 3 trading days.