PolycarpFX

PolycarpFX

Q1 2026: Quick Market Update

Expect More Chops and Air Pockets

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PolycarpFX
Dec 30, 2025
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2026 is shaping up to be a high-volatility year, and the setup into Q1 looks especially fragile. The combination of stretched indices, crowded leadership, and an election-cycle overhang suggests more whipsaws and fewer smooth trend moves than what we’ve enjoyed the past few years.

  • The base case is higher volatility starting in Q1, with a meaningful odds-…

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