Trouble in Paradise?
The Week Ahead 7/5/2026
Last week saw significant weakness in tech and semi’s with probably one of the best discussions of the year as Palantir’s Alex Karp expressed a compelling argument for how CEO’s are currently viewing the offerings of Anthropic and OpenAI. I’m seeing important levels hit on key sectors and several technicals aligning with seasonality to create some nice summer setups. However, there is definitely a sense of change coming, maybe some trouble in paradise around the corner.
How To Find Fat Pitch Setups
The Apple trade to start off Q3 was one of the best ones of the year. How did I find out before hand? Buffet has talked many times about how the market is a game of patience where you only have to swing when you want to. A keep piece of this is impulse control, there is no reason to chase trades on a daily basis but instead of embrace JOMO (Joy on Missing Out) and reject FOMO (Fear on Missing Out). Fear is not our friend, I prefer joy myself
Most of my best trades come when I see some type of headline or reading hit where a stock is rapidly falling based off of some event or random news of the day. What I like to do when I see this is review the technicals first. What is the daily and weekly RSI reading, is it above or below key weekly or daily moving averages, and has it filled or near any gaps. Next, I review the seasonality over the next few weeks and months for the current year overall and the current year of the presidential cycle (Midterm Year this year as an example). Follow that up and review any large prints that might have hit in Volume Leaders over the past quarter to see if any levels stand out.
Lastly, review any catalyst upcoming.
After reviewing that it should paint a very clear picture on if this is a compelling setup or not. Apple checked many boxes, RSI extended to downside, near key support, a gap fill just below, and incredibly strong seasonality.
The trade shared on 6/29 with premium members was APPL 7/24 295C’s at 2.95
Those calls ended Thursday 7/2 at 17.30 a contract, nearly a 500% gain in 3 days.
This is a repeatable trade setup that anyone can use.
It just takes a bit of patience and a process that works for your own trading style.
Feel free to join where we search for these setups each week
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Is Energy Bottoming?
I’m seeing lots of calls for energy to bottom based off its recent weakness combined with the geopolitical risk of Iran. It’s a solid thesis, I get it. But, is now the time to try and play that move?
